About The Profile Analyzer™

The Profile Analyzer™ (TPA) is a revolutionary software application that applies search engine technology to financial market analysis. Utilizing our software, customers can query vast amounts of financial data to provide as complete as possible a picture of the interrelationships that move financial markets. For the first time, clients are able to assess the probabilities of an investment strategy under specific market conditions.

Users can search financial markets using a virtually limitless combination of factors including:

Our clients have discovered that they can now:

The Profile Analyzer™ is a standalone PC application that runs on any version of Windows. Both the search engine software and the accompanying data reside on the user's hard disk. Our proprietary interface is designed using a menu-driven, point-and-click format, making the appplication as easy to use as it is powerful.

We provide below more information on TPA, in a format designed to answer your questions about what it is, who can make use of it, and why you need it. Click on any heading to view the corresponding information. If you prefer, you may view the entire description by scrolling down, or even print it out for future reference, as it is all on a single web page.

If you are more interested in a functional view of TPA, you may instead browse the online help.

Introduction - What is The Profile Analyzer?

Product Reviews and Press Comments about The Profile Analyzer

Who Can Use The Profile Analyzer?

The Profile Analyzer in Action
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What is The Profile Analyzer?

The Profile Analyzer is a revolutionary search engine application for financial market analysis. Utilizing the latest data mining technology, The Profile Analyzer allows users to search market scenarios described by any combination of economic events, price relationships, news items, technical studies, etc. TPA provides you with precise percentages and statistics matching the scenarios you outline.

For the first time, clients are able to assess the probabilities of an investment strategy under specific market conditions. As such, market participants can increase their chances of executing profitable trades and minimize the risk of entering marginal or losing scenarios. Sophisticated analysis that onec took hours to perform, or that could not be performed at all, can now be completed in a matter of seconds.

With The Profile Analyzer's extensive database of price and fundamental information, traders, analysts and money managers can find answers to all of their questions. In seconds, you can discover:

As a trader, these are some of the basic, and most critical, questions that come to mind during the trading day. Up until now, these types of questions were impossible to answer with any degree of certainty before a decision needed to be made: there was just not enough time to research the information. For this reason, most traders make an educated guess or follow their "gut feel" about the market.

The Profile Analyzer™ eliminates "gut feel" decisions and provides you wtih precise percentages and statistics for the scenarios you search. Even so, The Profile Analyzer is not a "black box" system; it is a powerful software application to help organize, access and synthesize vital market information.

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Product Reviews and Press Comments about The Profile Analyzer

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Who can use The Profile Analyzer?

Traders

The Profile Analyzer offers traders the following specific advantages:

Originally conceived by traders, The Profile Analyzer is designed to give traders a demonstrable edge in the markets. No matter what skill level you are at as a trader, The Profile Analyzer can help take your success to the next level.

For beginning traders or traders who are learning new markets, The Profile Analyzer helps you rocket up the learning curve. A few minutes spent determining the percentages associated with a given market scenario can save costly mistakes during the initial phases of the learning process.

More advanced traders can ask increasingly complex questions and incorporate their own data and spreadsheets into The Profile Analyzer's powerful format. Whether you are a strict technician, a fundamental trader or your approach is anywhere in between these two extremes, The Profile Analyzer adapts to your individual trading style. The Profile Analyzer gives you the important advantages of speed and flexibility. Since there is no computer programming involved and questions are phrased in plain English, you get answers to your questions immediately.

The Profile Analyzer™: Your Ultimate Edge for Market Analysis.

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Analysts

Among the advantages that The Profile Analyzer offers analysts:

Analysts are not immune to today's competitive pressures. With mergers and the increased availability of data on the internet, the pressure to provide accurate and unique analysis has never been greater. The Profile Analyzer allows you to incorporate your own research and spreadsheet data into the program's extensive fundamental and technical database. All of your own notes and data become fully integrated and searchable in the program allowing you to do more analysis faster than ever before. The ability to relate price data and fundamental data allows you to explore new relationships between data and markets. We've even included a powerful programming language that lets you add specific functionality to The Profile Analyzer. Knowledge is power. Only The Profile Analyzer enables you to turn market data into usable, actionable information that can increase your value to firm.

The Profile Analyzer™: Your Ultimate Edge for Market Analysis.

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Money Managers

Some of the ways that The Profile Analyzer can directly benefit you as a money manager:

If you manage money, chances are that your performance directly impacts your profitability. In today's competitive environment, even a slight market edge can mean the difference in millions or billions of dollars. The Profile Analyzer's extensive database and search capabilities can dramatically reduce the time you spend analyzing complex market relationships. Knowing the percentages associated with any given market scenario can give you a demonstrable edge in performance.

The Profile Analyzer can also be used to help you raise money by enabling you to clearly demonstrate to prospective investors the percentages associated with a particular money management approach either technical or fundamental. Knowing percentages associated with both market direction and specific price levels can help from either a proactive or from a defensive standpoint. Better performance. Faster research.

The Profile Analyzer™: Your Ultimate Edge for Market Analysis.

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The Profile Analyzer in Action

Bonds and the Payroll Employment Report

Payroll Employment is one of the most important economic numbers to the bond market. Is there a way to capture some profit without incurring the risk associated with taking a position through the number? Let's see...

We took a look at 80 payroll employment numbers between the beginning of 1991 and late 1997. Over 86% of the time the market extended the first half hour's range by more than 4/32nds. Whether the extension was to the upside or the downside, the market showed a marked tendency (65+%) to close beyond the first half hour's range in the direction of the extension. On average, the extension beyond the first half hour's range was between 16/32nds to 20/32nds. This gives us a solid profit target with a clearly defined expectation for where prices might close on the day.

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Currencies and Market Technicals

Does the trading of the Japanese Yen during Tokyo trading hours set the tone for the market during U.S. trading hours? How might this determine strategy for trading the currency market during U.S. trading hours?

We examined the trading patterns for the cash Yen/US$ on days when Yen/US$ had a clear uptrend during Tokyo hours versus the prior day's trading. We defined a clear uptrend as days when the market established higher highs, higher lows and posted a higher close in Tokyo than in the prior day's trading. There was a clear bias (over 61% of the time) toward closing higher in U.S. trading hours than the Tokyo close when the Tokyo market was in an uptrend. Despite this bias for closing higher, the U.S. market showed only a muted tendency to break new ground in trading during U.S. hours and quite often the price range set during Tokyo hours contained the range of U.S. trading. In addition, it was very rare (less than 10% of the time) that the market traded lower during U.S. hours than the range established in Tokyo trading. A sizable 85.9% of the time, the market closed above the midpoint for the entire day's range when Yen/US$ established an uptrend during Tokyo hours. Thus, percentages favor buying weakness during London and early U.S. hours in anticipation of a higher close or a close above the midpoint of the trading range set during Tokyo hours.

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Stock Traders Find Profit in Playing Late Moves

In the past 10 years the Dow has made new highs on the day in the last hour of trading over 25% of the time. Does this price action allow us to get an edge in the next day's trading?

When the market breaks to new highs on the day in the last hour of trading, the Dow has a strong tendency to trade higher the next day. Over 80% of the time, the market posts new highs versus the previous day when an intraday high is made in late afternoon trading. This suggests a strategy of going with a move to higher prices in late trading and holding the position overnight to take advantage of higher prices the next day. But don't forget to take your profits...after a late move to higher prices, the Dow manages to close higher the next day only about 47% of the time.

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Options Traders Gain an Edge in Predicting Bond Volatility

Options traders have discovered that The Profile Analyzer can be an important tool for assessing volatility under specific market conditions. The following scenario was suggested by one of our users and is used by permission:

The average weekly range in the bond market over the past two years has been about 66/32nds. We wanted to take a look at the impact of certain economic releases on market volatility. We selected two key economic releases that are released in the last week of this month (October): Durable Goods and Advance GDP. In weeks where one or both of these figures are released, the average weekly trading range for bond futures is almost 15% greater than a "normal" week.

By tailoring volatility strategies to reflect the fact that market volatility is likely to increase in the last week of October and by being cognizant of the fact that the following week contains the Payroll Employment release, traders can take advantage of a period of heightened market volatility that should span the two week period that marks the end of October and the beginning of November.

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